Liverpool today unveiled Robbie Keane as their new signing, bagging him for £18m plus another potential £2m depending on performances and appearances.
The big-money transfer has been met with some criticism, with Rafa Benetez changing his usual policy of buying younger players with a potential for profits upon resale. At 28 years old, Keane will be worth a fraction of the £18m fee paid in a couple of years time, and he will need to perform otherwise Benetez could find himself under major pressure.
Some say Keane may have been the final piece of the jigsaw for the Reds to win the Premier League for the first time in 19 years, but I can’t see him making much of a difference, no matter how formidable the striking line-up is now.
Sky Bet have already opened a number of betting markets on how he will fare, making him odds of 7/1 to outscore Torres and be the side’s top scorer. They also think he is likely to get around 10.5 goals, with odds of 5/6 for him to get either side of that in the Premier League this season.
Keane is just 2/1 to score on his debut against Sunderland on the 16th August with the online bookmaker, and odds of 6/1 to get booked in that game. Longer-odds bets include him to score a hat trick on his debut at 25/1, and 28/1 for him to be the Premier League’s top scorer in 2008/09.
The 2/5 on offer for Torres to be top scorer for Liverpool, despite being short, seems like great value, even if he is half as prolific as last season. It may also be worth backing Keane to net two or more goals at Sunderland at odds of 10/1.